Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggiana win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reggiana win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Pisa win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.