Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidenhead United would win this match.
Result | ||
Maidenhead United | Draw | Chesterfield |
39.82% | 25.45% | 34.73% |
Both teams to score 55.91% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.07% | 47.94% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.89% | 70.11% |
Maidenhead United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.19% | 23.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.02% | 57.98% |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.38% | 26.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.15% | 61.85% |
Score Analysis |
Maidenhead United | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 9.1% 2-1 @ 8.64% 2-0 @ 6.53% 3-1 @ 4.13% 3-0 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.12% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.99% Total : 39.82% | 1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 6.34% 2-2 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.45% | 0-1 @ 8.39% 1-2 @ 7.97% 0-2 @ 5.55% 1-3 @ 3.52% 2-3 @ 2.52% 0-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.17% Total : 34.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wrexham | 40 | 31 | 7 | 2 | 105 | 36 | 69 | 100 |
2 | Notts County | 41 | 29 | 10 | 2 | 103 | 36 | 67 | 97 |
3 | Woking | 40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 65 | 41 | 24 | 72 |
4 | Chesterfield | 40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 72 |
5 | Barnet | 39 | 20 | 7 | 12 | 72 | 62 | 10 | 67 |
6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 40 | 17 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 65 |
7 | Eastleigh | 40 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 64 |
8 | Bromley | 40 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 59 | 49 | 10 | 61 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 40 | 16 | 8 | 16 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 56 |
10 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 40 | 15 | 11 | 14 | 51 | 63 | -12 | 56 |
11 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 40 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 59 | 58 | 1 | 55 |
12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 40 | 16 | 7 | 17 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 55 |
13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 40 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 41 | 13 | 9 | 19 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 48 |
15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 47 |
16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 46 |
17 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 40 | 13 | 7 | 20 | 58 | 84 | -26 | 46 |
18 | York City | 40 | 11 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 43 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 40 | 12 | 7 | 21 | 54 | 68 | -14 | 43 |
20 | Gateshead | 37 | 9 | 14 | 14 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 40 |
21 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 39 | 7 | 17 | 15 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 38 |
22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 40 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 37 |
23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 41 | 8 | 10 | 23 | 46 | 76 | -30 | 34 |
24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 41 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 43 | 90 | -47 | 24 |
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