Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 44.47%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
