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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 26.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mansfield Town in this match.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Morecambe |
47.71% | 25.6% | 26.69% |
Both teams to score 51.51% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.14% | 51.85% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.39% | 73.61% |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.26% | 21.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.09% | 54.91% |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.82% | 34.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.12% | 70.87% |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Morecambe |
1-0 @ 11.33% 2-1 @ 9.29% 2-0 @ 8.65% 3-1 @ 4.73% 3-0 @ 4.4% 3-2 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.8% 4-0 @ 1.68% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.32% Total : 47.71% | 1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 7.43% 2-2 @ 4.99% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 7.98% 1-2 @ 6.53% 0-2 @ 4.28% 1-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.78% 0-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.24% Total : 26.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Stockport CountyStockport | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 56 | 27 | 29 | 54 |
2 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 54 | 36 | 18 | 52 |
3 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 26 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 45 | 21 | 24 | 50 |
4 | BarrowBarrow | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 49 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 47 |
6 | MK Dons | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 42 |
7 | Notts County | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 55 | 47 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Gillingham | 26 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 41 |
9 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 40 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 39 |
11 | Crawley TownCrawley | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 39 |
12 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 38 |
13 | Walsall | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 36 |
14 | Bradford CityBradford | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 35 |
15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 34 |
16 | Morecambe | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 34 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 34 |
18 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 28 | 10 | 3 | 15 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 33 |
19 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 31 | 47 | -16 | 28 |
20 | Grimsby Town | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 27 |
21 | Salford City | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 27 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 25 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 19 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |