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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambridge United would win this match.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Cambridge United |
36.67% | 26.38% | 36.95% |
Both teams to score 52.97% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.22% | 51.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.46% | 73.54% |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.7% | 27.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.26% | 62.74% |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.86% | 27.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.47% | 62.52% |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Cambridge United |
1-0 @ 9.62% 2-1 @ 8.14% 2-0 @ 6.24% 3-1 @ 3.53% 3-0 @ 2.7% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 3% Total : 36.67% | 1-1 @ 12.54% 0-0 @ 7.41% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 9.66% 1-2 @ 8.18% 0-2 @ 6.3% 1-3 @ 3.56% 0-3 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.04% Total : 36.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 16 | 17 | 35 |
2 | Notts County | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 30 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 15 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Morecambe | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 27 |
7 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Gillingham | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 25 |
9 | Swindon TownSwindon | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 22 |
11 | BarrowBarrow | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 22 |
12 | MK Dons | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Salford City | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 21 |
14 | Crawley TownCrawley | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Walsall | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 20 |
16 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
17 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 19 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 18 |
20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 16 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 14 |
22 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 13 |
23 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 10 |
24 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 22 | 36 | -14 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |