Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
