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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Gillingham |
31.66% | 28.47% | 39.87% |
Both teams to score 45.8% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.56% | 60.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.43% | 80.57% |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.06% | 34.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.32% | 71.68% |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.39% | 29.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.35% | 65.65% |
Score Analysis |
Northampton Town | Draw | Gillingham |
1-0 @ 10.87% 2-1 @ 6.96% 2-0 @ 5.72% 3-1 @ 2.44% 3-0 @ 2.01% 3-2 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.16% Total : 31.65% | 1-1 @ 13.24% 0-0 @ 10.34% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.47% | 0-1 @ 12.59% 1-2 @ 8.06% 0-2 @ 7.66% 1-3 @ 3.27% 0-3 @ 3.11% 2-3 @ 1.72% 1-4 @ 0.99% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.52% Total : 39.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 41 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 71 | 32 | 39 | 84 |
2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 40 | 25 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 44 | 26 | 83 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 40 | 23 | 13 | 4 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 82 |
4 | Barnsley | 40 | 24 | 6 | 10 | 69 | 37 | 32 | 78 |
5 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 41 | 22 | 4 | 15 | 71 | 48 | 23 | 70 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 40 | 19 | 11 | 10 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
7 | Derby CountyDerby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 68 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 41 | 19 | 8 | 14 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 65 |
9 | Portsmouth | 41 | 16 | 15 | 10 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 63 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 41 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 62 | 53 | 9 | 55 |
11 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 40 | 16 | 7 | 17 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 55 |
12 | Exeter CityExeter | 41 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 59 | 55 | 4 | 53 |
13 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 40 | 11 | 19 | 10 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 52 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 53 | 61 | -8 | 51 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 41 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 50 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 46 |
17 | Port Vale | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 40 | 60 | -20 | 46 |
18 | Burton Albion | 39 | 12 | 9 | 18 | 51 | 74 | -23 | 45 |
19 | MK Dons | 41 | 11 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 58 | -20 | 42 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 40 | 9 | 13 | 18 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 40 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 40 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 33 | 66 | -33 | 38 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 40 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 37 |
23 | Morecambe | 42 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 38 | 71 | -33 | 35 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 41 | 6 | 8 | 27 | 29 | 76 | -47 | 26 |
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