Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.
