Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
