Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.