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Coppa Italia | First Round
Aug 6, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Spezia
5 - 1
Como
N'Zola (43', 76' pen.), Verde (60' pen.), Strelec (71'), Maldini (89')
Bastoni (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Blanco (55')
Cagnano (37'), Blanco (63')
Coverage of the Coppa Italia First Round clash between Spezia and Como.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, May 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Como had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawComo
41.48% (-0.422 -0.42) 25.31% (0.032 0.03) 33.22% (0.395 0.4)
Both teams to score 56.04% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.4% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)47.6% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.2% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)69.8% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.17% (-0.21299999999999 -0.21)22.83% (0.216 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.45% (-0.316 -0.32)56.55% (0.319 0.32)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.63% (0.241 0.24)27.38% (-0.238 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.16% (0.308 0.31)62.84% (-0.305 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 41.48%
    Como 33.22%
    Draw 25.31%
SpeziaDrawComo
1-0 @ 9.23% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.82% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.35% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.36% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.24% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 41.48%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.72% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 8.1% (0.061 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.75% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.25% (0.074 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.35% (0.048 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.27% (0.047 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 33.22%

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