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Bundesliga | Gameweek 34
May 14, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
Freiburg logo
B. Leverkusen
2 - 1
Freiburg
Alario (54'), Palacios (90+7')
Diaby (18'), Baumgartlinger (26')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Haberer (88')
Eggestein (3'), Schlotterbeck (43'), Sildillia (77')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Freiburg
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Elversberg vs. B. Leverkusen
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 RB Leipzig (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal
Next Game: Kaiserslautern vs. Freiburg
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-2 Freiburg

Despite the hosts having nothing left to play for here, it is difficult to see them losing on the final day following their impressive end to the campaign. Goals are surely to be expected though, with Freiburg having to go in search of all three points, and with the likes of Schick and Diaby proving devastating on the counter attack for much of this season, we can see the hosts finding the back of the net on multiple occasions to end their opponent's top-four dream. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 57.2%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 21.83% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 1-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (5.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawFreiburg
57.2% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 20.97% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 21.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 61.51% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.88% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)36.12% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.78% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)58.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)12.54% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)38.57% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.33% (0.0010000000000048 0)29.67% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.28% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)65.72% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 57.2%
    Freiburg 21.83%
    Draw 20.97%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 9.74%
2-0 @ 8.02%
1-0 @ 7.73% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 6.74%
3-0 @ 5.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 4.1%
4-1 @ 3.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 2.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 57.2%
1-1 @ 9.39% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.92%
0-0 @ 3.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.97%
1-2 @ 5.7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 4.52% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 2.4%
1-3 @ 2.31%
0-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 21.83%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Freiburg

Bayer Leverkusen
61.4%
Draw
21.1%
Freiburg
17.5%
57
Head to Head
Dec 19, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-1
B. Leverkusen
Grifo (33' pen.), Schade (84')
Schlotterbeck (30'), Holer (86')
Aranguiz (45+1')
Frimpong (32'), Andrich (39'), Odilon (82')
Feb 28, 2021 5pm
B. Leverkusen
1-2
Freiburg
Bailey (70')
Aranguiz (68'), Bailey (71')
Demirovic (50'), Holer (61')
Demirovic (21'), Hofler (73'), Sallai (77')
Nov 1, 2020 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-4
B. Leverkusen
Holer (3'), Petersen (72')
Kubler (45+1'), Heintz (50')
Alario (29', 42'), Amiri (64'), Tah (76')
Bender (24'), Diaby (60')
May 29, 2020 7.30pm
Nov 23, 2019 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203472723
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen87102571822
3Stuttgart970227111621
4RB Leipzig96212571820
5Borussia DortmundDortmund8620178920
6Hoffenheim96032016418
7Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt834196313
8Freiburg8413914-513
9Wolfsburg94051314-112
10Augsburg93241821-311
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach92341620-49
12Werder Bremen93061418-49
13Heidenheim92161322-97
14SV Darmstadt 9892161330-177
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin92071119-86
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum9054823-155
17FC Koln9117721-144
18Mainz 05Mainz9036924-153

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