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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 62.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 17.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Freiburg |
62.02% | 20.57% | 17.4% |
Both teams to score 55% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.96% | 41.04% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.56% | 63.44% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.3% | 12.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.08% | 38.92% |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63% | 37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.21% | 73.79% |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Freiburg |
2-0 @ 10% 2-1 @ 9.95% 1-0 @ 9.7% 3-0 @ 6.88% 3-1 @ 6.84% 4-0 @ 3.55% 4-1 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 3.4% 4-2 @ 1.76% 5-0 @ 1.47% 5-1 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.49% Total : 62.02% | 1-1 @ 9.64% 2-2 @ 4.95% 0-0 @ 4.7% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.57% | 1-2 @ 4.79% 0-1 @ 4.67% 0-2 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 1.64% 1-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.38% Total : 17.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 34 | 7 | 27 | 23 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 7 | 18 | 22 |
3 | Stuttgart | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 21 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 7 | 18 | 20 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 20 |
6 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Freiburg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 13 |
9 | Wolfsburg | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 12 |
10 | Augsburg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 11 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 9 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 9 |
13 | Heidenheim | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 7 |
14 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 7 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 6 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 5 |
17 | FC Koln | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
18 | Mainz 05Mainz | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 3 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |