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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 52.75%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 23.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-0 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
23.86% | 23.39% | 52.75% |
Both teams to score 55.76% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.07% | 44.93% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.71% | 67.29% |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.19% | 32.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.62% | 69.37% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.98% | 17.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.85% | 47.15% |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
1-0 @ 6.22% 2-1 @ 6.14% 2-0 @ 3.47% 3-1 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 2.02% 3-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.45% Total : 23.86% | 1-1 @ 11.01% 0-0 @ 5.58% 2-2 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.38% | 0-1 @ 9.89% 1-2 @ 9.76% 0-2 @ 8.76% 1-3 @ 5.76% 0-3 @ 5.17% 2-3 @ 3.21% 1-4 @ 2.55% 0-4 @ 2.29% 2-4 @ 1.42% 1-5 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.04% Total : 52.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 64 | 21 | 43 | 46 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 22 | 15 | 1 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 46 |
3 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 43 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 42 |
5 | Freiburg | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 41 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 38 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 33 |
8 | Mainz 05Mainz | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 32 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 30 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 29 |
11 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 28 |
12 | FC Koln | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 26 |
13 | Augsburg | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 24 |
14 | Hertha Berlin | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 20 |
15 | Stuttgart | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 19 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 19 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 22 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 19 |
18 | Schalke 04Schalke | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 16 |
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