Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 64.63%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 15.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Greuther Furth win it was 2-1 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.