Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 47.98%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.