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EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
MK Dons
Watford
0 - 2
MK Dons
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dennis (45'), Burns (53')
O'Hora (45+5'), Devoy (76'), Oyegoke (79')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Watford and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Watford 2-0 MK Dons

While they have not been all that successful against the top sides in England over the past few seasons, Watford have a lot more experience playing high-calibre teams. We believe the Dons will have difficulty penetrating a Hornets side who have shown tremendous poise and continuity on the defensive side this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawMK Dons
47.51% (0.0039999999999978 0) 24.64%27.85% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 55.44% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)47.12% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)69.36% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.1% (0.0010000000000048 0)19.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.98% (0.0010000000000048 0)52.03%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.22% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)30.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.95% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)67.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Watford 47.51%
    MK Dons 27.85%
    Draw 24.64%
WatfordDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 9.89% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 9.41%
2-0 @ 7.98% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.06%
3-0 @ 4.3% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 2.98%
4-1 @ 2.04%
4-0 @ 1.73%
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 47.51%
1-1 @ 11.65%
0-0 @ 6.13% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.64%
0-1 @ 7.22%
1-2 @ 6.86% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 27.85%

How you voted: Watford vs MK Dons

Watford
87.2%
Draw
12.8%
MK Dons
0.0%
39
Head to Head
Dec 4, 1999 3pm
MK Dons
5-0
Watford
Gayle (78'), Euell (67'), Earle (32'), Hartson (61'), Cort (15')
Aug 7, 1999 3pm
Watford
2-3
MK Dons
Kennedy (17' pen.), Ngonge (71')
Johnson (78' og.), Gayle (28'), Cort (10')
Blackwell (17')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City34264489315882
2Arsenal34246481394278
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3319684940963
5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs35176126457757
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
8Aston Villa35166134643354
9Brentford35121495245750
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Chelsea34119143439-542
12Crystal Palace351010153546-1140
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35117173050-2040
14Bournemouth35116183767-3039
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3579194469-2530
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224

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