Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 41.9%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.