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EFL Cup
Newport County
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 23, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Portsmouth
Newport
3 - 2
Portsmouth
Evans (14'), Wildig (49'), Waite (74')
Willmott (81'), Evans (87'), Drysdale (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Curtis (9', 25')
Raggett (69'), Mingi (84'), Curtis (90+4')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Newport County and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

Last Six:
Last Game: Newport 2-1 Tranmere
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League Two

Portsmouth

Last Six:
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League One

We said: Newport County 1-3 Portsmouth

 While Newport County will be looking to build on last weekend's victory, they go up against a spirited Portsmouth side who have won their last four games in all competitions. Pompey are also unbeaten in the new campaign and we are backing them to maintain their fine run of results and come away with a comfortable victory on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 41.47%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawPortsmouth
41.47% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 26.73% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 31.81% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.97% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.06% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)53.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)75.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35% (0.013999999999996 0.01)25.65% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.45% (0.021999999999998 0.02)60.55% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.55% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)31.45% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.17% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)67.83% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 41.46%
    Portsmouth 31.81%
    Draw 26.72%
Newport CountyDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 10.97%
2-1 @ 8.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.47% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.92% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-0 @ 3.39% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 41.46%
1-1 @ 12.69%
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.72%
0-1 @ 9.33% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 7.34% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 5.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.08% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 31.81%

How you voted: Newport vs Portsmouth

Newport County
25.5%
Draw
15.7%
Portsmouth
58.8%
51
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2017 3pm
Portsmouth
2-1
Newport
Bennett (42'), Naismith (59')
Samuel (75')
Rigg (52'), Labadie (69'), Myrie-Williams (88')
Dec 26, 2016 3pm
Newport
2-3
Portsmouth
Sheehan (25'), Healey (51')
Healey (7'), Tozer (39'), Barnum-Bobb (79')
Rose (56'), Stevens (80'), Naismith (87')
Burgess (51'), Hunt (73')
Mar 12, 2016 3pm
Portsmouth
0-3
Newport

Stevens (24'), Hollands (34'), Burgess (40'), Roberts (53')
Roberts (59')
Jones (34'), Boden (69'), Morgan (87')
Byrne (21'), O'Sullivan (81')
Oct 17, 2015 3pm
Newport
0-1
Portsmouth

Barrow (46')
Tubbs (45')
Stevens (85')
Jan 10, 2015 3pm
Newport
1-0
Portsmouth
Byrne (68')
Klukowski (83')

Hollands (61'), Jones (71')
rhs 2.0
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