Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 47.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Torino had a probability of 25.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.14%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.