MX23RW : Wednesday, October 5 20:30:33| >> :300:86500:86500:
Aug 27, 2022 at 1pm UK at Tammela Stadium
Ilves
2 - 3
Haka
Pennanen (16'), Parfitt-Williams (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mastokangas (23'), Zarokostas (69'), Erwin (86')
Friberg (51'), Arthur (54')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Ilves and Haka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mariehamn 1-5 Ilves
Sunday, August 21 at 4.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Haka 0-3 HJK Helsinki
Sunday, August 21 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 48.53%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 26.49% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Ilves win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haka would win this match.

Result
IlvesDrawHaka
26.49% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06) 24.97% (-0.044 -0.04) 48.53% (0.103 0.1)
Both teams to score 53.28% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.54% (0.135 0.13)49.46% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.5% (0.121 0.12)71.49% (-0.121 -0.12)
Ilves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.94% (0.025000000000006 0.03)33.06% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.34% (0.027000000000001 0.03)69.65% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Haka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.59% (0.099000000000004 0.1)20.41% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.16% (0.156 0.16)52.84% (-0.156 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Ilves 26.49%
    Haka 48.53%
    Draw 24.97%
IlvesDrawHaka
1-0 @ 7.47% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-1 @ 6.57% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.13% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.53% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 26.49%
1-1 @ 11.86% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.75% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.97%
0-1 @ 10.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.43% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.52% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-3 @ 5% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.51% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.77% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.99% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.79% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 48.53%

Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Haka
2-1
Ilves
Zarokostas (32'), Erwin (40')
Laine (87')
Ollila (43')
Ngueukam (16'), Miettunen (36')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Haka
0-1
Ilves
Manga (85')
Jul 5, 2021 4.30pm
Ilves
1-0
Haka
Mommo (29')
Loa Loa (85')

Loen (70'), Yartey (88'), Malundama (90+5')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Ilves
1-1
Haka
Missi Mezu (22')
Siira (75'), Mommo (89')
Popovits (47')
Bushue (80')
Sep 1, 2020 4.30pm
Haka
0-2
Ilves

Purme (68')
Mettala (36', 52')
Jair (77')
Content continues below the video

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