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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Stoke City had a probability of 21.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Stoke City win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Burnley | Draw | Stoke City |
54.54% ( -0.38) | 24.38% ( -0.08) | 21.08% ( 0.46) |
Both teams to score 49.15% ( 0.87) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.04% ( 0.83) | 51.96% ( -0.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.29% ( 0.71) | 73.71% ( -0.7) |
Burnley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.03% ( 0.17) | 18.97% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.5% ( 0.28) | 50.5% ( -0.27) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.65% ( 0.95) | 39.35% ( -0.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.95% ( 0.88) | 76.05% ( -0.87) |
Score Analysis |
Burnley | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 12.4% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 10.31% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.04% Total : 54.53% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.85% Total : 24.37% | 0-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.4% Total : 21.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Burnley | 46 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 87 | 35 | 52 | 101 |
P | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 46 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 91 |
P | Luton TownLuton | 46 | 21 | 17 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 80 |
4 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 84 | 56 | 28 | 75 |
5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 18 | 16 | 12 | 58 | 46 | 12 | 70 |
6 | Sunderland | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 69 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 69 |
8 | Millwall | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 68 |
9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 59 | 53 | 6 | 66 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 66 |
11 | Watford | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 56 | 53 | 3 | 63 |
12 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 63 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 54 | 3 | 62 |
14 | Bristol City | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 55 | 56 | -1 | 59 |
15 | Hull City | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 58 |
16 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 55 | 54 | 1 | 53 |
17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 53 |
18 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47 | 62 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 11 | 17 | 18 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 50 |
20 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 71 | -27 | 50 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 41 | 58 | -17 | 49 |
R | Reading | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 44 |
R | Blackpool | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 44 |
R | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 42 |
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