Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Jahn Regensburg win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greuther Furth would win this match.
