Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 80.33%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 6.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.29%) and 0-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.15%), while for a Chaves win it was 1-0 (2.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chaves | Draw | Benfica |
6.71% ( -0.36) | 12.96% ( -0.28) | 80.33% ( 0.64) |
Both teams to score 45.66% ( -0.95) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.84% ( -0.1) | 34.16% ( 0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.95% ( -0.11) | 56.04% ( 0.11) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.89% ( -1.07) | 51.11% ( 1.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.58% ( -0.73) | 85.41% ( 0.72) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.4% ( 0.1) | 6.59% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.48% ( 0.29) | 24.52% ( -0.29) |
Score Analysis |
Chaves | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.38% Total : 6.71% | 1-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.64% Total : 12.96% | 0-2 @ 12.45% ( 0.21) 0-3 @ 11.29% ( 0.26) 0-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 7.68% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 7.58% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 4.18% ( 0.14) 1-5 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.1) 0-6 @ 1.89% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.06) 1-6 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.3% Total : 80.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Benfica | 34 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 82 | 20 | 62 | 87 |
2 | Porto | 34 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 73 | 22 | 51 | 85 |
3 | Braga | 34 | 25 | 3 | 6 | 75 | 30 | 45 | 78 |
4 | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 71 | 32 | 39 | 74 |
5 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 54 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 53 |
7 | ChavesChaves | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 44 |
9 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 44 |
10 | Casa Pia | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 41 |
11 | Vizela | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 40 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 37 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 |
15 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 34 |
16 | Maritimo | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 32 | 63 | -31 | 26 |
17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 26 | 62 | -36 | 23 |
R | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 22 |
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