Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.82%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
