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National League North | Gameweek 44
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park
Brackley Town
3 - 0
Darlington
Walker (40'), Bates (63' pen.), Robinson (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Darlington.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hereford 2-2 Brackley Town
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 2-2 Bradford Park Av
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Darlington win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.

Result
Brackley TownDrawDarlington
47.94% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09) 25.23% (0.0010000000000012 0) 26.82% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 52.73% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.69% (0.055 0.05)50.3% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.75% (0.050000000000001 0.05)72.25% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)21% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.22% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)53.77% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.75% (0.097000000000008 0.1)33.25% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.14% (0.107 0.11)69.86% (-0.10799999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Brackley Town 47.94%
    Darlington 26.82%
    Draw 25.22%
Brackley TownDrawDarlington
1-0 @ 10.89% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.5% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 4.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.73% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 47.94%
1-1 @ 11.99%
0-0 @ 6.98% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 7.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.61% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.23% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.43% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 26.82%

Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Darlington
2-2
Brackley Town
Rose (13'), Beck (43' pen.)
Stead (49'), Sukar (89' og.)
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Sep 14, 2021 7.45pm
Brackley Town
1-3
Darlington
Mitford (50')
Armson (15')
Cassidy (8'), Charman (59'), Hatfield (67')
Jan 5, 2021 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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