Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochaux win with a probability of 61.07%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Pau had a probability of 15.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sochaux win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.61%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.82%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.