Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 48.51%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 25.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest Livingston win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | Livingston |
48.51% ( -0.06) | 25.72% ( 0.02) | 25.77% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 50.38% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.05% ( -0.06) | 52.95% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.44% ( -0.05) | 74.55% ( 0.06) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.15% ( -0.05) | 21.84% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.93% ( -0.08) | 55.07% ( 0.08) |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.46% ( -0) | 35.53% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.7% ( -0) | 72.3% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | Livingston |
1-0 @ 11.8% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 48.5% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0) Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0) Other @ 2% Total : 25.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 26 |
2 | RangersRangers | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 18 |
3 | St Mirren | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 18 |
4 | Dundee | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 |
5 | Hearts | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 11 |
6 | Motherwell | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 11 |
7 | Kilmarnock | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
8 | Hibernian | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 10 |
9 | Livingston | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 10 |
10 | Aberdeen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 9 |
11 | Ross County | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 9 |
12 | St Johnstone | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |