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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 49.05%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 26.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
49.05% | 24.79% | 26.15% |
Both teams to score 53.54% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.03% | 48.97% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.95% | 71.05% |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.01% | 19.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.83% | 52.17% |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.92% | 33.08% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.33% | 69.67% |
Score Analysis |
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
1-0 @ 10.64% 2-1 @ 9.48% 2-0 @ 8.57% 3-1 @ 5.09% 3-0 @ 4.6% 3-2 @ 2.81% 4-1 @ 2.05% 4-0 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.83% Total : 49.05% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 6.61% 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.79% | 0-1 @ 7.32% 1-2 @ 6.52% 0-2 @ 4.05% 1-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 1.93% 0-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.44% Total : 26.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 31 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 58 | 22 | 36 | 68 |
2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 57 | 32 | 25 | 68 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 32 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 60 | 31 | 29 | 60 |
4 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 48 | 24 | 24 | 59 |
5 | Derby CountyDerby | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 57 |
6 | Barnsley | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 56 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
8 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 48 |
9 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 30 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 47 |
10 | Portsmouth | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 42 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
12 | Port Vale | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 40 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 39 |
14 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 39 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 38 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 36 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 36 |
18 | Burton Albion | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 34 |
19 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 33 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 30 |
21 | MK Dons | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 29 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 26 | 51 | -25 | 29 |
23 | Morecambe | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 28 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 25 | 63 | -38 | 22 |
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