Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.
