Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 5, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Marseille
2 - 2
Brighton
The Match
Match Report
Brighton & Hove Albion fight back from two goals down to draw 2-2 with Marseille in their first-ever European away game.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Marseille and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Monaco 3-2 Marseille
Saturday, September 30 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, September 30 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Aston Villa 6-1 Brighton
Saturday, September 30 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Saturday, September 30 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 38.79%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 37.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.74%) and 2-0 (5.38%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Marseille | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
38.79% ( -2.91) | 23.58% ( 0.19) | 37.63% ( 2.72) |
Both teams to score 63.1% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.25% ( -0.6) | 38.75% ( 0.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.94% ( -0.64) | 61.06% ( 0.64) |
Marseille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.71% ( -1.57) | 20.28% ( 1.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.36% ( -2.56) | 52.64% ( 2.56) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.16% ( 1.1) | 20.84% ( -1.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.47% ( 1.7) | 53.52% ( -1.7) |
Score Analysis |
Marseille 38.79%
Brighton & Hove Albion 37.63%
Draw 23.57%
Marseille | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.31) 1-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.39) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.4) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.36) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.26) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.21) Other @ 3.04% Total : 38.79% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.57% | 1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.38) 0-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.4) 0-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.47) 1-3 @ 4.34% ( 0.33) 2-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.33) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.18) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.88% Total : 37.63% |
How you voted: Marseille vs Brighton
Marseille
25.7%Draw
28.4%Brighton & Hove Albion
45.9%148
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2023-10-29 03:11:33
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Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 26 |
2 | Arsenal | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 8 | 15 | 24 |
3 | Manchester CityMan City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 |
4 | Liverpool | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 20 |
5 | Aston Villa | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 19 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 11 | 15 | 17 |
7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 16 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 15 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 14 |
10 | Brentford | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 13 |
11 | Chelsea | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 12 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 12 |
14 | Fulham | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 11 |
15 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Everton | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
17 | Bournemouth | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 6 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 5 |
19 | Burnley | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 25 | -17 | 4 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 29 | -22 | 1 |
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