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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for Reading had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Reading | Draw | Bristol City |
33.74% | 27.74% | 38.52% |
Both teams to score 48.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.55% | 57.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.75% | 78.25% |
Reading Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.07% | 31.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.62% | 68.37% |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.06% | 28.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.18% | 64.82% |
Score Analysis |
Reading | Draw | Bristol City |
1-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 7.47% 2-0 @ 6.02% 3-1 @ 2.84% 3-0 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.8% Total : 33.73% | 1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 9.24% 2-2 @ 4.63% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.74% | 0-1 @ 11.45% 1-2 @ 8.11% 0-2 @ 7.1% 1-3 @ 3.35% 0-3 @ 2.94% 2-3 @ 1.91% 1-4 @ 1.04% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.7% Total : 38.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Burnley | 38 | 24 | 12 | 2 | 74 | 29 | 45 | 84 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 22 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 33 | 26 | 73 |
3 | Middlesbrough | 39 | 20 | 7 | 12 | 71 | 46 | 25 | 67 |
4 | Luton TownLuton | 39 | 18 | 13 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 67 |
5 | Millwall | 39 | 17 | 10 | 12 | 48 | 40 | 8 | 61 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 38 | 19 | 4 | 15 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 61 |
7 | Norwich CityNorwich | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 57 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 57 |
9 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 56 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 56 |
11 | Watford | 39 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 55 |
12 | Sunderland | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 54 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 52 | 45 | 7 | 51 |
14 | Bristol City | 39 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 49 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 39 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 49 |
16 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 39 | 13 | 9 | 17 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 48 |
17 | Hull City | 39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 48 |
18 | Reading | 39 | 13 | 7 | 19 | 41 | 59 | -18 | 46 |
19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 38 | 60 | -22 | 42 |
20 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 41 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 39 |
22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 39 | 10 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 39 |
23 | Blackpool | 39 | 8 | 11 | 20 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 35 |
24 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 39 | 8 | 13 | 18 | 34 | 59 | -25 | 34 |
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