We said: Birmingham City 1-2 Luton Town
Birmingham are likely to get on the scoresheet on Saturday, as they have done so in all of their matches in recent weeks, but Luton's momentum could be the difference between the sides this weekend.
Jones's side's good form will stand them in good stead to collect three points this weekend, and the visitors will feel they must beat teams in the lower half of the table if they are serious contenders for a top-six spot.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.68%) and 1-2 (8.61%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
