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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 44.19%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 27.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Birmingham City |
44.19% | 28.7% | 27.11% |
Both teams to score 43.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.3% | 62.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.75% | 82.25% |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.69% | 28.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.97% | 64.03% |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.22% | 39.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.55% | 76.45% |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Birmingham City |
1-0 @ 14.21% 2-0 @ 8.97% 2-1 @ 8.27% 3-0 @ 3.77% 3-1 @ 3.48% 3-2 @ 1.6% 4-0 @ 1.19% 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.61% Total : 44.19% | 1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 11.26% 2-2 @ 3.81% Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.7% | 0-1 @ 10.38% 1-2 @ 6.04% 0-2 @ 4.78% 1-3 @ 1.86% 0-3 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.41% Total : 27.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Burnley | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 64 | 28 | 36 | 73 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 61 |
3 | Middlesbrough | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 57 |
4 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 52 |
5 | Millwall | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 50 |
6 | Luton TownLuton | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 50 |
7 | Watford | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 50 |
8 | Sunderland | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 49 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 49 |
10 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 45 |
11 | Coventry CityCoventry | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 45 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 42 |
13 | Hull City | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 42 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 42 |
15 | Bristol City | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 41 |
16 | Reading | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 41 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 40 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 39 |
19 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 38 |
20 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 36 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 35 |
22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 31 |
23 | Blackpool | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 31 |
24 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 31 |
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