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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Augsburg | Draw | Mainz 05 |
30.52% | 24.64% | 44.84% |
Both teams to score 57.17% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.36% | 45.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.04% | 67.96% |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.85% | 28.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.17% | 63.83% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.56% | 20.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.11% | 52.9% |
Score Analysis |
Augsburg | Draw | Mainz 05 |
2-1 @ 7.34% 1-0 @ 7.3% 2-0 @ 4.62% 3-1 @ 3.1% 3-2 @ 2.46% 3-0 @ 1.95% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.76% Total : 30.52% | 1-1 @ 11.58% 2-2 @ 5.83% 0-0 @ 5.75% 3-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.64% | 1-2 @ 9.19% 0-1 @ 9.14% 0-2 @ 7.25% 1-3 @ 4.86% 0-3 @ 3.84% 2-3 @ 3.08% 1-4 @ 1.93% 0-4 @ 1.52% 2-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.8% Total : 44.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 20 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 59 | 18 | 41 | 43 |
2 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 42 |
3 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 40 |
4 | Freiburg | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 36 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 40 | 26 | 14 | 35 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 30 |
8 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 27 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 26 |
11 | Mainz 05Mainz | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 26 |
12 | FC Koln | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 23 |
13 | Augsburg | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 21 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 19 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 19 |
16 | Stuttgart | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 16 |
17 | Hertha Berlin | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 14 |
18 | Schalke 04Schalke | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 41 | -27 | 12 |
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