Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.