Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 40.74%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.57%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.