Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 36.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
