Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 51.25%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 22.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Krylia Sovetov win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.
