Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 64.51%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 14.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.