Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 31.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochi would win this match.
