Home > Football > League One
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Bolton Wanderers | 46 | 17 | 73 |
10 | Portsmouth | 46 | 17 | 73 |
11 | Ipswich Town | 46 | 21 | 70 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Burton Albion | 46 | -16 | 53 |
17 | Lincoln City | 46 | -8 | 52 |
18 | Shrewsbury Town | 46 | -4 | 50 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 25.16% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | Lincoln City |
49.85% | 24.98% | 25.16% |
Both teams to score 52.05% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.5% | 50.5% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.58% | 72.42% |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.73% | 20.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.38% | 52.62% |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.28% | 34.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.55% | 71.45% |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | Lincoln City |
1-0 @ 11.23% 2-1 @ 9.48% 2-0 @ 8.96% 3-1 @ 5.05% 3-0 @ 4.77% 3-2 @ 2.67% 4-1 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.71% Total : 49.85% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 7.04% 2-2 @ 5.02% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 7.45% 1-2 @ 6.29% 0-2 @ 3.94% 1-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.12% Total : 25.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 31 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 58 | 22 | 36 | 68 |
2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 57 | 32 | 25 | 68 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 32 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 60 | 31 | 29 | 60 |
4 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 48 | 24 | 24 | 59 |
5 | Derby CountyDerby | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 57 |
6 | Barnsley | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 56 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
8 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 48 |
9 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 30 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 47 |
10 | Portsmouth | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 42 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
12 | Port Vale | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 40 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 39 |
14 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 39 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 38 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 36 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 36 |
18 | Burton Albion | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 34 |
19 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 33 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 30 |
21 | MK Dons | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 29 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 26 | 51 | -25 | 29 |
23 | Morecambe | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 28 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 25 | 63 | -38 | 22 |
> Full Version |