Coverage of the League One clash between Portsmouth and Gillingham.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sheff Weds 4-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Bolton Wanderers | 46 | 17 | 73 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 46 | 17 | 73 |
| 11 | Ipswich Town | 46 | 21 | 70 |
Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Rotherham
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 20 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | -20 | 40 |
| 21 | Gillingham | 46 | -34 | 40 |
| 22 | Doncaster Rovers | 46 | -45 | 38 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 62.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 16.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Gillingham |
| 62.85% | 21.15% | 16.01% |
| Both teams to score 50.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
