Coverage of the League One clash between Lincoln City and Crewe Alexandra.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lincoln 2-1 Crewe
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Burton Albion | 46 | -16 | 53 |
| 17 | Lincoln City | 46 | -8 | 52 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury Town | 46 | -4 | 50 |
Last Game: Lincoln 2-1 Crewe
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Doncaster Rovers | 46 | -45 | 38 |
| 23 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | -26 | 37 |
| 24 | Crewe Alexandra | 46 | -46 | 29 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 60.02%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 18.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 60.02% | 21.72% | 18.25% |
| Both teams to score 52.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
