The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between MK Dons and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: MK Dons 1-0 Wycombe
Sunday, May 8 at 6.30pm in League One
Sunday, May 8 at 6.30pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Rotherham United | 46 | 37 | 90 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 46 | 34 | 89 |
| 4 | Sheffield Wednesday | 46 | 28 | 85 |
Last Game: Lincoln 2-1 Crewe
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Doncaster Rovers | 46 | -45 | 38 |
| 23 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | -26 | 37 |
| 24 | Crewe Alexandra | 46 | -46 | 29 |
We said: MK Dons 2-0 Crewe Alexandra
With more quality in their ranks and momentum on their side, everything points to an MK Dons win on Tuesday. Manning's men have their sights set on the top two, and they should not be derailed at home to the league's basement side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 69.19%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 12.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 69.19% | 18.6% | 12.21% |
| Both teams to score 48.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
