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Mar 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK at Stadium MK
MK Dons
3 - 1
Cheltenham
Parrott (26', 85'), Eisa (28')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Boyle (89')
May (72')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League One clash between MK Dons and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: MK Dons 2-0 Cheltenham Town

Having lost once in their last five games in all competitions, MK Dons will be confident of collecting all three points on Wednesday, and we think that they will profit against a Cheltenham side that are currently on a poor run of form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 61.4%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 16.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.43%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawCheltenham Town
61.4%21.98%16.63%
Both teams to score 48.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.5%48.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.37%70.63%
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.7%15.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.98%44.02%
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.59%42.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.21%78.79%
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 61.39%
    Cheltenham Town 16.63%
    Draw 21.97%
MK DonsDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 12.18%
2-0 @ 11.43%
2-1 @ 9.81%
3-0 @ 7.16%
3-1 @ 6.14%
4-0 @ 3.36%
4-1 @ 2.88%
3-2 @ 2.63%
5-0 @ 1.26%
4-2 @ 1.24%
5-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 61.39%
1-1 @ 10.44%
0-0 @ 6.49%
2-2 @ 4.21%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 21.97%
0-1 @ 5.57%
1-2 @ 4.48%
0-2 @ 2.39%
1-3 @ 1.28%
2-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 16.63%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Cheltenham

MK Dons
90.6%
Draw
9.4%
Cheltenham Town
0.0%
32
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Cheltenham
1-1
MK Dons
Joseph (14')
Blair (39'), Hussey (45'), Freestone (84')
Boateng (87')
Darling (61'), Boateng (87')
Dec 26, 2018 3pm
Cheltenham
3-1
MK Dons
Atangana (14'), Barnett (44'), Clements (86')
Clements (50')
Aneke (22')
Aneke (33'), Cisse (57')
Oct 6, 2018 3pm
MK Dons
3-0
Cheltenham
Aneke (34'), Healey (84'), Simpson (99' pen.)

Maddox (98')
Jan 31, 2009 3pm
Cheltenham
3-5
MK Dons
Spencer (68', 75', 81' pen.)
Owusu (37')
Johnson (17', 71'), Wilbraham (44', 45', 59')
Gueret (68'), Stirling (80'), Puncheon (90')
Oct 25, 2008 3pm
MK Dons
3-1
Cheltenham
Gerba (9', 80'), Baldock (55' pen.)
Stirling (25')
Gueret (30')
Caines (26')
Owusu (54'), Westlake (71')
Owusu (83')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
1.30pm
Rune
Rublev
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Plymouth ArgylePlymouth41268771442786
2Ipswich TownIpswich412413485325385
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds422412673353884
4Barnsley412561074383681
5Bolton WanderersBolton4120111055322371
6Peterborough UnitedPeterborough422241671502170
7Derby CountyDerby4219121163432069
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe421981555431265
9Portsmouth4216161056461064
10Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury41168174953-456
11Charlton AthleticCharlton421413156259355
12Lincoln CityLincoln411219104243-155
13Exeter CityExeter421411175956353
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood421314155047353
15Bristol Rovers401410165462-852
16Burton Albion40139185476-2248
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham421211193754-1747
18Port Vale421210204263-2146
19MK Dons421110214060-2043
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd41913194051-1140
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge41117233561-2640
22Morecambe43814213971-3238
23Accrington StanleyAccrington41911213571-3638
RForest Green RoversForest Green4268283081-5126

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