Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 37.73%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cheltenham Town in this match.
