Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 49.17%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
