Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 68.72%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 12.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 0-1 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.
