Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 40.2%. A draw had a probability of 31.5% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 28.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.42%) and 1-2 (7.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.86%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 1-0 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
